{"id":13662,"date":"2025-04-30T19:40:52","date_gmt":"2025-04-30T19:40:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyfinancefocus.com\/?p=13662"},"modified":"2025-04-30T19:40:57","modified_gmt":"2025-04-30T19:40:57","slug":"petrole-baisse-opep-hausse-production","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyfinancefocus.com\/fr\/petrole-baisse-opep-hausse-production\/","title":{"rendered":"Le p\u00e9trole chute sous 60 $ : l\u2019OPEP+ rebat les cartes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Le p\u00e9trole repasse sous les 60 dollars le baril<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le p\u00e9trole<\/a> a plong\u00e9 sous les 60 dollars pour la premi\u00e8re fois en trois semaines. Cette baisse intervient apr\u00e8s des d\u00e9clarations venues d\u2019Arabie saoudite sugg\u00e9rant une volont\u00e9 d\u2019accepter des prix bas sur une longue p\u00e9riode. Le WTI a ainsi chut\u00e9 de 4,2 %, marquant sa plus forte baisse mensuelle depuis novembre 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le prix du p\u00e9trole est d\u00e9sormais sous pression, port\u00e9 par des signaux clairs de l\u2019OPEP+ sur une strat\u00e9gie d\u2019augmentation prolong\u00e9e de la production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019Arabie saoudite pourrait relancer sa strat\u00e9gie de 2020<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Selon Reuters, Riyad aurait inform\u00e9 ses partenaires que le royaume pouvait r\u00e9sister \u00e0 un p\u00e9trole \u00e0 bas prix. Cela sugg\u00e8re un retour possible \u00e0 la politique agressive de 2020. Rebecca Babin, experte chez CIBC Private Wealth Group, y voit un changement profond de strat\u00e9gie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019augmentation du p\u00e9trole<\/a> en circulation pourrait ainsi continuer au-del\u00e0 des attentes actuelles. Le march\u00e9 craint une nouvelle offensive saoudienne pour gagner des parts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019OPEP+ annonce d\u00e9j\u00e0 une hausse surprise de production<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e9but avril, l\u2019OPEP+ a surpris le march\u00e9 en annon\u00e7ant une augmentation de 411 000 barils par jour d\u00e8s mai. Cela repr\u00e9sente trois mois d\u2019avanc\u00e9es compress\u00e9s en un seul. Le p\u00e9trole a imm\u00e9diatement r\u00e9agi \u00e0 cette d\u00e9cision inattendue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morgan Stanley pr\u00e9dit un exc\u00e9dent mondial de p\u00e9trole dans les mois \u00e0 venir. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, JPMorgan avertit que la r\u00e9union pr\u00e9vue la semaine prochaine pourrait officialiser d\u2019autres hausses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le risque de surabondance s\u2019\u00e9tend au-del\u00e0 de l\u2019OPEP+<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les foreurs non-OPEP, comme ceux du Canada et de la Guyane, s\u2019appr\u00eatent \u00e9galement \u00e0 produire davantage. L\u2019offre mondiale de p\u00e9trole pourrait ainsi d\u00e9passer largement la demande. Cette dynamique affaiblit davantage les prix du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La combinaison d’une offre \u00e9lev\u00e9e et d’une demande incertaine cr\u00e9e un terrain instable pour les march\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les perspectives \u00e9conomiques p\u00e8sent sur la demande<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La demande mondiale de p\u00e9trole est aussi impact\u00e9e par le contexte g\u00e9opolitique et \u00e9conomique. Les n\u00e9gociations commerciales men\u00e9es par les \u00c9tats-Unis stagnent. L\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine s\u2019est contract\u00e9e au premier trimestre, pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce recul est attribu\u00e9 \u00e0 une hausse des importations juste avant l\u2019entr\u00e9e en vigueur de nouveaux droits de douane, ainsi qu\u2019\u00e0 un ralentissement de la consommation. Le p\u00e9trole p\u00e2tit directement de cette faiblesse \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Chine souffre aussi des tensions commerciales<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En Chine, la situation n\u2019est pas meilleure. L\u2019activit\u00e9 manufacturi\u00e8re a enregistr\u00e9 sa pire baisse depuis d\u00e9cembre 2023. Cette contraction met en lumi\u00e8re l\u2019impact n\u00e9gatif de la guerre commerciale entre P\u00e9kin et Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donald Trump a affirm\u00e9 sur ABC News que la Chine m\u00e9ritait les tarifs douaniers actuels. Il a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 ne plus vouloir de produits chinois sans contrepartie \u00e9quitable. Ces propos renforcent l’incertitude globale qui p\u00e8se sur le march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le p\u00e9trole repasse sous les 60 dollars le baril Le p\u00e9trole a plong\u00e9 sous les 60 dollars pour la premi\u00e8re fois en trois semaines. Cette baisse intervient apr\u00e8s des d\u00e9clarations…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":13674,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"\nLe p\u00e9trole chute sous 60 $ : l\u2019OPEP+ rebat les cartes Daily Finance Focus -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le p\u00e9trole passe sous 60 $ alors que l\u2019OPEP+ et l\u2019Arabie saoudite pr\u00e9voient une hausse prolong\u00e9e de la production mondiale.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyfinancefocus.com\/fr\/petrole-baisse-opep-hausse-production\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta 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