{"id":12390,"date":"2025-03-15T19:40:15","date_gmt":"2025-03-15T19:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyfinancefocus.com\/?p=12390"},"modified":"2025-03-15T19:40:20","modified_gmt":"2025-03-15T19:40:20","slug":"petrole-rebond-apres-baisse-guerre-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyfinancefocus.com\/fr\/petrole-rebond-apres-baisse-guerre-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Le p\u00e9trole rebondit apr\u00e8s 7 semaines de baisse"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Le p\u00e9trole met fin \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie de baisses historiques<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole<\/a> a mis fin \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie de sept semaines cons\u00e9cutives de pertes, soutenu par un rebond des march\u00e9s boursiers am\u00e9ricains et une pause dans les progr\u00e8s diplomatiques entre la Russie et l\u2019Ukraine. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) a progress\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 1 %, s\u2019\u00e9tablissant au-dessus de 67 dollars le baril, tandis que le Brent s\u2019est approch\u00e9 des 71 dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette hausse mod\u00e9r\u00e9e marque un tournant apr\u00e8s la plus longue s\u00e9rie de pertes du p\u00e9trole depuis 2015. En une semaine, le p\u00e9trole am\u00e9ricain a tout juste enregistr\u00e9 un gain de 0,2 %, \u00e9chappant de peu \u00e0 une huiti\u00e8me baisse hebdomadaire qui aurait marqu\u00e9 un nouveau record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques alimentent le cours du p\u00e9trole<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019enlisement des pourparlers de paix entre la Russie et l\u2019Ukraine contribue \u00e0 soutenir les prix du p\u00e9trole. Le pr\u00e9sident russe Vladimir Poutine a exig\u00e9 le d\u00e9sarmement des forces ukrainiennes dans la r\u00e9gion de Koursk, une demande que Kiev a fermement rejet\u00e9e. Cela laisse pr\u00e9sager une r\u00e9solution difficile du conflit \u00e0 court terme, ce qui limite les attentes d\u2019un retour rapide du p\u00e9trole russe sur le march\u00e9 mondial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour les march\u00e9s, ce blocage diplomatique maintient l\u2019incertitude sur l\u2019offre globale de p\u00e9trole, notamment en provenance de Moscou, dont les exportations restent affect\u00e9es par les sanctions occidentales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le p\u00e9trole affect\u00e9 par les tensions commerciales<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Depuis la mi-janvier, les politiques commerciales protectionnistes du pr\u00e9sident Donald Trump ont pes\u00e9 sur les perspectives \u00e9conomiques mondiales. Cette incertitude a fait craindre une baisse de la consommation de p\u00e9trole<\/a>, notamment en Chine et en Europe, deux r\u00e9gions fortement cibl\u00e9es par les droits de douane am\u00e9ricains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et commerciales ont provoqu\u00e9 une hausse des anticipations d\u2019inflation \u00e0 long terme, leur plus forte progression depuis 1993. Une inflation persistante pourrait nuire \u00e0 la demande \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, ce qui inqui\u00e8te les acteurs du march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les sanctions p\u00e9troli\u00e8res comme levier g\u00e9opolitique<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le p\u00e9trole reste au centre des frictions internationales. Cette semaine, les \u00c9tats-Unis ont impos\u00e9 de nouvelles sanctions \u00e0 l\u2019Iran, ciblant son ministre du P\u00e9trole et plusieurs entreprises et navires affili\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019OPEP. Des restrictions ont \u00e9galement \u00e9t\u00e9 appliqu\u00e9es aux paiements li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie russe, ce qui accentue les difficult\u00e9s de Moscou \u00e0 maintenir ses exportations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces sanctions ont bri\u00e8vement fait grimper les prix du p\u00e9trole, mais l\u2019impact a \u00e9t\u00e9 limit\u00e9, car les march\u00e9s attendent des mesures concr\u00e8tes plut\u00f4t que des annonces symboliques. \u00ab Les sanctions ne sont que des mots tant qu\u2019elles ne sont pas appliqu\u00e9es \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Rebecca Babin, sp\u00e9cialiste en \u00e9nergie chez CIBC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une offre exc\u00e9dentaire p\u00e8se sur les perspectives<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Malgr\u00e9 ce soutien temporaire, les fondamentaux du march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole<\/a> restent fragiles. L\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie (AIE) anticipe un exc\u00e9dent d\u2019offre mondial croissant, en raison de la reprise de la production par l\u2019OPEP+ et d\u2019une demande affaiblie par la guerre commerciale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le retour potentiel du p\u00e9trole russe pourrait accentuer cet exc\u00e9dent. Les traders surveillent de pr\u00e8s l\u2019\u00e9volution de la situation, notamment en ce qui concerne les n\u00e9gociations de cessez-le-feu et l\u2019effet des sanctions sur les flux d\u2019exportation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole sous tension<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole reste tr\u00e8s sensible aux nouvelles \u00e9conomiques et g\u00e9opolitiques. Apr\u00e8s sept semaines de baisse, le l\u00e9ger rebond observ\u00e9 cette semaine ne masque pas les inqui\u00e9tudes durables li\u00e9es \u00e0 la demande mondiale et \u00e0 l\u2019offre exc\u00e9dentaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alors que les tensions commerciales persistent et que la situation en Ukraine reste incertaine, le p\u00e9trole pourrait continuer de fluctuer dans les semaines \u00e0 venir. Pour les investisseurs, prudence et vigilance restent de mise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le p\u00e9trole met fin \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie de baisses historiques Le march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole a mis fin \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie de sept semaines cons\u00e9cutives de pertes, soutenu par un rebond…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":12391,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"\nLe p\u00e9trole rebondit apr\u00e8s 7 semaines de baisse Daily Finance Focus -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le p\u00e9trole rebondit apr\u00e8s sept semaines de baisse, sur fond de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et de guerre commerciale persistante.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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